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California 6 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Amerish Bera has a 97% chance of winning California 6.

CandidatePartyWin %

Amerish Bera

INCUMBENT

97%

Christine Bish

3%

Chance of winning California 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 6

Cook PVI

D+7.4

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Amerish Bera

Cash on hand

$1,892,488

Raised

$321,428

Spent

$665,095

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Christine Bish

Cash on hand

$1,530

Raised

$84,304

Spent

$89,673

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 06Vote %Total Votes

Ami Bera

55.95%

121,058

Tamika Hamilton

44.05%

95,325

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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