| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Josh Harder INCUMBENT | 91% | |
Kevin Lincoln | 9% |
Chance of winning California 9 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 9
Cook PVI
D+4.6
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Harder | $2,746,441 | $2,347,019 | $1,141,300 | March 31, 2024 | |
Kevin Lincoln | $302,670 | $533,814 | $550,255 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,746,441
Raised
$2,347,019
Spent
$1,141,300
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$302,670
Raised
$533,814
Spent
$550,255
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 09 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Josh Harder | 54.82% | 95,598 |
Tom Patti | 45.18% | 78,802 |
2022 California House 09
Josh Harder
Vote %
54.82%
Total Votes
95,598
2022 California House 09
Tom Patti
Vote %
45.18%
Total Votes
78,802
+ More Elections
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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
