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Colorado 2 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Joseph Neguse has a >99% chance of winning Colorado 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Joseph Neguse

INCUMBENT

>99%

Marshall Dawson

<1%

Chance of winning Colorado 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Colorado 2

Cook PVI

D+17.5

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Joseph Neguse

Cash on hand

$1,861,325

Raised

$904,859

Spent

$1,537,423

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Marshall Dawson

Cash on hand

$13,019

Raised

$1,680

Spent

$4,120

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Colorado 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Colorado House 02Vote %Total Votes

Joe Neguse

69.98%

244,107

Marshall Dawson

28.01%

97,700

Steve Yurash

0.82%

2,876

Gary Nation

0.63%

2,188

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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