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Colorado 3 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jeff Hurd has a 84% chance of winning Colorado 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jeff Hurd

84%

Adam Frisch

16%

Chance of winning Colorado 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Colorado 3

Cook PVI

R+7.1

Last Winner

Republican

2 polls

Aug 9 – 16

801 LV

Keating Research
50.0%

Frisch

48.0%

Boebert

+2 Frisch

Mar 30 – Apr 3

500 LV

Global Strategy Grou...
45.0%

Frisch

45.0%

Boebert

TIE

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Adam Frisch

Cash on hand

$3,770,102

Raised

$13,075,015

Spent

$9,769,839

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Jeff Hurd

Cash on hand

$219,693

Raised

$1,016,008

Spent

$847,970

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Colorado 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Colorado House 03Vote %Total Votes

Lauren Boebert

50.08%

163,839

Adam Frisch

49.92%

163,293

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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