| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
John Larson INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Mark Hancock | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Connecticut 1 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Connecticut 1
Cook PVI
D+11.8
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Larson | $323,174 | $448,049 | $1,447,447 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$323,174
Raised
$448,049
Spent
$1,447,447
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Connecticut 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Connecticut House 01 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
John B. Larson | 61.32% | 149,556 |
Larry Lazor | 37.52% | 91,506 |
Mary Lou Sanders | 1.17% | 2,851 |
2022 Connecticut House 01
John B. Larson
Vote %
61.32%
Total Votes
149,556
2022 Connecticut House 01
Larry Lazor
Vote %
37.52%
Total Votes
91,506
2022 Connecticut House 01
Mary Lou Sanders
Vote %
1.17%
Total Votes
2,851
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
