Connecticut 5 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Jahana Hayes has a 76% chance of winning Connecticut 5.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Jahana Hayes INCUMBENT		76%
George Logan		24%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Connecticut 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Connecticut 5

Cook PVI

D+2.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Jahana Hayes	$1,023,993	$2,828,893	$3,303,146	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
George Logan	$331,867	$1,806,074	$2,313,994	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Jahana Hayes

Cash on hand

$1,023,993

Raised

$2,828,893

Spent

$3,303,146

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

George Logan

Cash on hand

$331,867

Raised

$1,806,074

Spent

$2,313,994

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Connecticut 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.