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Florida 10 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Maxwell Frost has a >99% chance of winning Florida 10.

CandidatePartyWin %

Maxwell Frost

INCUMBENT

>99%

Willie Montague

<1%

Chance of winning Florida 10 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 10

Cook PVI

D+14.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Maxwell Frost

Cash on hand

$1,097,326

Raised

$2,118,274

Spent

$1,594,588

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Willie Montague

Cash on hand

$290

Raised

$4,407

Spent

$4,119

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 10. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 10Vote %Total Votes

Maxwell Alejandro Frost

59.00%

117,955

Calvin B. Wimbish

39.44%

78,844

Jason Holic

1.00%

2,001

Usha Jain

0.56%

1,110

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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