Florida 19 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Byron Donalds has a >99% chance of winning Florida 19.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Byron Donalds INCUMBENT		>99%
Kari Lerner		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Florida 19 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 19

Cook PVI

R+12.9

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Byron Donalds	$1,740,377	$4,294,928	$5,027,271	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Kari Lerner	$5,471	$179,774	$178,546	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Byron Donalds

Cash on hand

$1,740,377

Raised

$4,294,928

Spent

$5,027,271

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Kari Lerner

Cash on hand

$5,471

Raised

$179,774

Spent

$178,546

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 19. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.