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Florida 20 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick has a >99% chance of winning Florida 20.

CandidatePartyWin %

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

INCUMBENT

>99%

Republican

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Florida 20 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 20

Cook PVI

D+25.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Cash on hand

$40,165

Raised

$308,113

Spent

$548,152

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 20. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 20Vote %Total Votes

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

55.60%

136,215

Drew Montez Clark

21.29%

52,151

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

18.25%

44,707

Jason Mariner

4.48%

10,966

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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