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Florida 21 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Brian Mast has a 99% chance of winning Florida 21.

CandidatePartyWin %

Brian Mast

INCUMBENT

99%

Thomas Witkop

1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Florida 21 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 21

Cook PVI

R+6.9

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Brian Mast

Cash on hand

$1,846,312

Raised

$2,886,795

Spent

$3,953,168

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Thomas Witkop

Cash on hand

$112,511

Raised

$196,523

Spent

$113,712

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 21. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 21Vote %Total Votes

Brian Mast

63.50%

208,614

Corinna Balderramos Robinson

36.50%

119,891

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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