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Florida 22 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Lois Frankel has a 97% chance of winning Florida 22.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lois Frankel

INCUMBENT

97%

Daniel Franzese

3%

Chance of winning Florida 22 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 22

Cook PVI

D+7.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lois Frankel

Cash on hand

$1,358,430

Raised

$809,457

Spent

$415,087

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Daniel Franzese

Cash on hand

$235,517

Raised

$178,630

Spent

$398,528

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 22. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 22Vote %Total Votes

Lois Frankel

55.11%

150,010

Dan Franzese

44.89%

122,194

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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