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Illinois 14 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Lauren Underwood has a 94% chance of winning Illinois 14.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lauren Underwood

INCUMBENT

94%

James Marter

6%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Illinois 14 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 14

Cook PVI

D+2.8

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lauren Underwood

Cash on hand

$1,541,179

Raised

$3,186,591

Spent

$3,201,311

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

James Marter

Cash on hand

$70,928

Raised

$281,384

Spent

$222,434

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 14. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Illinois House 14Vote %Total Votes

Lauren Underwood

54.16%

128,141

Scott R. Gryder

45.84%

108,451

Barry Wilson

0.00%

8

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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