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Illinois 5 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mike Quigley has a >99% chance of winning Illinois 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mike Quigley

INCUMBENT

>99%

Tom Hanson

<1%

Chance of winning Illinois 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 5

Cook PVI

D+19.4

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mike Quigley

Cash on hand

$1,066,857

Raised

$245,253

Spent

$783,822

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Tom Hanson

Cash on hand

$475

Raised

$500

Spent

$2,000

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Illinois House 05Vote %Total Votes

Mike Quigley

69.57%

190,999

Tommy Hanson

28.82%

79,112

Jerico Matias Cruz

1.62%

4,439

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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