Illinois 6 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Sean Casten has a 95% chance of winning Illinois 6.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Sean Casten INCUMBENT		95%
Niki Conforti		5%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Illinois 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 6

Cook PVI

D+11.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Sean Casten	$1,002,030	$1,903,196	$2,021,218	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Niki Conforti	$22,975	$121,754	$116,814	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Sean Casten

Cash on hand

$1,002,030

Raised

$1,903,196

Spent

$2,021,218

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Niki Conforti

Cash on hand

$22,975

Raised

$121,754

Spent

$116,814

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.