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Illinois 6 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Sean Casten has a 87% chance of winning Illinois 6.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Sean Casten INCUMBENT		87%
Niki Conforti		13%

Chance of winning Illinois 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Illinois 6

Cook PVI

D+11.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Sean Casten	$1,147,433	$1,256,384	$899,534	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Niki Conforti	$22,107	$43,606	$29,659	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Sean Casten

Cash on hand

$1,147,433

Raised

$1,256,384

Spent

$899,534

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Niki Conforti

Cash on hand

$22,107

Raised

$43,606

Spent

$29,659

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Illinois 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.