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Indiana 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that James Baird has a >99% chance of winning Indiana 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

James Baird

INCUMBENT

>99%

Derrick Holder

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Indiana 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Indiana 4

Cook PVI

R+19.0

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

James Baird

Cash on hand

$216,211

Raised

$107,844

Spent

$684,832

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Derrick Holder

Cash on hand

$3,248

Raised

$2,587

Spent

$5,023

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Indiana 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Indiana House 04Vote %Total Votes

Jim Baird

68.22%

134,864

Roger D. Day

31.78%

62,834

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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