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Iowa 2 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Ashley Hinson has a 93% chance of winning Iowa 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Ashley Hinson

INCUMBENT

93%

Sarah Corkery

7%

Chance of winning Iowa 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 2

Cook PVI

R+14.5

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Ashley Hinson

Cash on hand

$1,578,586

Raised

$2,077,317

Spent

$2,010,578

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Sarah Corkery

Cash on hand

$71,206

Raised

$204,586

Spent

$133,880

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Iowa House 02Vote %Total Votes

Ashley Hinson

54.12%

172,181

Liz Mathis

45.88%

145,940

+ More Elections

Featured Races

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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