Iowa 3 House Forecast tossup

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Zach Nunn has a 53% chance of winning Iowa 3.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Zach Nunn INCUMBENT		53%
Lanon Baccam		47%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Iowa 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 3

Cook PVI

D+20.4

Last Winner

Republican

View Polling Average

Iowa 3 House polls, Nunn vs. Baccam

3 polls

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster	Results	Topline
Sep 20 – 23	400 LV	GQR/Lanon Baccam	50.0% Baccam 46.0% Nunn	+4 Baccam
Sep 6 – 13	483 LV	RMG Research/U.S. Te...	42.0% Baccam 39.0% Nunn	+3 Baccam
Jun 25 – 28	550 LV	GQR	43.0% Nunn 43.0% Baccam	TIE

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Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Zach Nunn	$1,036,568	$2,429,799	$4,291,597	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Lanon Baccam	$277,004	$3,719,435	$4,549,749	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Zach Nunn

Cash on hand

$1,036,568

Raised

$2,429,799

Spent

$4,291,597

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Lanon Baccam

Cash on hand

$277,004

Raised

$3,719,435

Spent

$4,549,749

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.