| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Ron Estes INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Esaua Freeman | <1% |
Chance of winning Kansas 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Kansas 4
Cook PVI
R+14.0
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ron Estes | $1,492,017 | $262,868 | $868,007 | March 31, 2024 | |
Esaua Freeman | $11,738 | $31,700 | $20,155 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,492,017
Raised
$262,868
Spent
$868,007
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$11,738
Raised
$31,700
Spent
$20,155
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Kansas 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Kansas House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Ron Estes | 63.34% | 144,889 |
Bob Hernandez | 36.66% | 83,851 |
2022 Kansas House 04
Ron Estes
Vote %
63.34%
Total Votes
144,889
2022 Kansas House 04
Bob Hernandez
Vote %
36.66%
Total Votes
83,851
+ More Elections
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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
