| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Ron Estes INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Esaua Freeman | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Kansas 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Kansas 4
Cook PVI
R+14.0
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ron Estes | $1,436,041 | $394,383 | $1,703,969 | October 16, 2024 | |
Esaua Freeman | $4,992 | $66,160 | $68,112 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,436,041
Raised
$394,383
Spent
$1,703,969
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$4,992
Raised
$66,160
Spent
$68,112
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Kansas 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Kansas House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Ron Estes | 63.34% | 144,889 |
Bob Hernandez | 36.66% | 83,851 |
2022 Kansas House 04
Ron Estes
Vote %
63.34%
Total Votes
144,889
2022 Kansas House 04
Bob Hernandez
Vote %
36.66%
Total Votes
83,851
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
