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Maine 2 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Jared Golden has a 72% chance of winning Maine 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jared Golden

INCUMBENT

72%

Austin Theriault

28%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Maine 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Maine 2

Cook PVI

R+5.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jared Golden

Cash on hand

$1,075,802

Raised

$5,745,343

Spent

$6,021,871

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Austin Theriault

Cash on hand

$655,051

Raised

$2,017,736

Spent

$2,554,559

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Maine 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Maine House 02Vote %Total Votes

Jared Forrest Golden

26.33%

165,136

Jared Forrest Golden

24.40%

153,074

Bruce Poliquin

23.30%

146,142

Bruce Poliquin

22.52%

141,260

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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