Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Maryland 3 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Sarah Elfreth has a >99% chance of winning Maryland 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Sarah Elfreth

>99%

Robert Steinberger

<1%

Chance of winning Maryland 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Maryland 3

Cook PVI

D+9.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Sarah Elfreth

Cash on hand

$247,566

Raised

$1,406,815

Spent

$1,209,305

Date

April 24, 2024

Candidate

Robert Steinberger

Cash on hand

$5,656

Raised

$10,135

Spent

$5,203

Date

April 24, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Maryland 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Maryland House 03Vote %Total Votes

John Sarbanes

60.25%

175,514

Yuripzy Morgan

39.75%

115,801

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories