Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Massachusetts 2 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that James McGovern has a >99% chance of winning Massachusetts 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

James McGovern

INCUMBENT

>99%

Jeff Sossa-Paquette

<1%

Chance of winning Massachusetts 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Massachusetts 2

Cook PVI

D+13.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

James McGovern

Cash on hand

$485,223

Raised

$491,828

Spent

$568,194

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jeff Sossa-Paquette

Cash on hand

$7,771

Raised

$0

Spent

$0

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Massachusetts 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Massachusetts House 02Vote %Total Votes

James P. McGovern

66.27%

180,639

Jeffrey A. Sossa-Paquette

33.73%

91,956

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories