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Michigan 12 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Rashida Tlaib has a >99% chance of winning Michigan 12.

CandidatePartyWin %

Rashida Tlaib

INCUMBENT

>99%

Steven Elliot

<1%

Chance of winning Michigan 12 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 12

Cook PVI

D+22.5

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Rashida Tlaib

Cash on hand

$5,230,897

Raised

$6,355,045

Spent

$1,558,722

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Steven Elliot

Cash on hand

$1,288

Raised

$23,116

Spent

$26,569

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 12. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 12Vote %Total Votes

Rashida Tlaib

70.84%

196,643

Steven Elliott

26.26%

72,888

Gary Walkowicz

2.90%

8,046

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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