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Michigan 3 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Hillary Scholten has a 74% chance of winning Michigan 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Hillary Scholten

INCUMBENT

74%

Paul Hudson

26%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Michigan 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 3

Cook PVI

D+1.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Hillary Scholten

Cash on hand

$1,231,995

Raised

$3,557,424

Spent

$3,755,215

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Paul Hudson

Cash on hand

$52,844

Raised

$594,610

Spent

$871,591

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 03Vote %Total Votes

Hillary Scholten

54.87%

185,989

John Gibbs

41.96%

142,229

Jamie Lewis

1.96%

6,634

Louis Palus

1.22%

4,136

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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