Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Michigan 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Timothy Walberg has a >99% chance of winning Michigan 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Timothy Walberg

INCUMBENT

>99%

Libbi Urban

<1%

Chance of winning Michigan 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 5

Cook PVI

R+14.6

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Timothy Walberg

Cash on hand

$1,324,569

Raised

$425,499

Spent

$581,233

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Libbi Urban

Cash on hand

$2,793

Raised

$2,920

Spent

$1,409

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 05Vote %Total Votes

Tim Walberg

62.42%

198,020

Bart Goldberg

34.97%

110,946

Norman M. Peterson

1.62%

5,129

Ezra Scott

1.00%

3,162

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories