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Minnesota 1 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Brad Finstad has a 96% chance of winning Minnesota 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Brad Finstad INCUMBENT		96%
Rachel Bohman		4%

Chance of winning Minnesota 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Minnesota 1

Cook PVI

R+7.4

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Brad Finstad	$487,337	$593,724	$683,013	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Rachel Bohman	$95,753	$71,566	$5,313	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Brad Finstad

Cash on hand

$487,337

Raised

$593,724

Spent

$683,013

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Rachel Bohman

Cash on hand

$95,753

Raised

$71,566

Spent

$5,313

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.