Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

Minnesota 3 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kelly Morrison has a 99% chance of winning Minnesota 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kelly Morrison

99%

Tad Jude

1%

Chance of winning Minnesota 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Minnesota 3

Cook PVI

D+7.5

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kelly Morrison

Cash on hand

$419,294

Raised

$681,686

Spent

$323,329

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Tad Jude

Cash on hand

$29,493

Raised

$16,275

Spent

$12,462

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Minnesota House 03Vote %Total Votes

Dean Phillips

59.60%

198,883

Tom Weiler

40.40%

134,797

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories