Minnesota 6 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Tom Emmer has a >99% chance of winning Minnesota 6.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Tom Emmer INCUMBENT		>99%
Jeanne Hendricks		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Minnesota 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Minnesota 6

Cook PVI

R+12.0

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Tom Emmer	$1,963,882	$2,029,179	$6,702,752	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Jeanne Hendricks	$8,675	$40,204	$57,401	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Tom Emmer

Cash on hand

$1,963,882

Raised

$2,029,179

Spent

$6,702,752

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Jeanne Hendricks

Cash on hand

$8,675

Raised

$40,204

Spent

$57,401

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.