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Missouri 1 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Wesley Bell has a >99% chance of winning Missouri 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Wesley Bell

>99%

Andrew Jones

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Missouri 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 1

Cook PVI

D+27.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Wesley Bell

Cash on hand

$404,333

Raised

$5,104,995

Spent

$4,844,334

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Missouri House 01Vote %Total Votes

Cori Bush

72.86%

160,999

Andrew Jones

24.33%

53,767

George A. Zsidisin

2.80%

6,192

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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