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Missouri 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Ann Wagner has a 98% chance of winning Missouri 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Ann Wagner

INCUMBENT

98%

Ray Hartmann

2%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Missouri 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 2

Cook PVI

R+7.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Ann Wagner

Cash on hand

$3,164,944

Raised

$2,366,697

Spent

$2,301,308

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Ray Hartmann

Cash on hand

$229,967

Raised

$634,697

Spent

$434,329

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Missouri House 02Vote %Total Votes

Ann Wagner

54.89%

173,277

Trish Gunby

43.05%

135,895

Bill Slantz

2.06%

6,494

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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