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Missouri 3 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kurt Schaefer has a >99% chance of winning Missouri 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kurt Schaefer

>99%

Bethany Mann

<1%

Chance of winning Missouri 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 3

Cook PVI

R+16.0

Last Winner

Republican

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Missouri House 03Vote %Total Votes

Blaine Luetkemeyer

65.11%

180,746

Bethany Mann

34.89%

96,851

Thomas Clapp

0.00%

0

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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