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Missouri 6 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Samuel Graves has a >99% chance of winning Missouri 6.

CandidatePartyWin %

Samuel Graves

INCUMBENT

>99%

Pam May

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Missouri 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 6

Cook PVI

R+21.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Samuel Graves

Cash on hand

$2,487,718

Raised

$827,348

Spent

$1,583,854

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Pam May

Cash on hand

$2,087

Raised

$10,181

Spent

$10,127

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Missouri House 06Vote %Total Votes

Sam Graves

70.32%

184,865

Henry Martin

27.48%

72,253

Edward A. "Andy" Maidment

2.20%

5,774

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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