| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Troy Downing | >99% | |
Kevin Hamm | <1% |
Chance of winning Montana 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Montana 2
Cook PVI
R+16.3
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Troy Downing | $435,322 | $674,178 | $1,383,494 | May 15, 2024 | |
Kevin Hamm | $5,061 | $62,620 | $57,628 | May 15, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$435,322
Raised
$674,178
Spent
$1,383,494
Report
Date
May 15, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,061
Raised
$62,620
Spent
$57,628
Report
Date
May 15, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Montana 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Montana House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Matt Rosendale | 56.56% | 121,979 |
Gary Buchanan | 21.88% | 47,195 |
Penny Ronning | 20.16% | 43,480 |
Sam Rankin | 1.40% | 3,018 |
2022 Montana House 02
Matt Rosendale
Vote %
56.56%
Total Votes
121,979
2022 Montana House 02
Gary Buchanan
Vote %
21.88%
Total Votes
47,195
2022 Montana House 02
Penny Ronning
Vote %
20.16%
Total Votes
43,480
2022 Montana House 02
Sam Rankin
Vote %
1.40%
Total Votes
3,018
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
