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Montana 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Troy Downing has a >99% chance of winning Montana 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Troy Downing

>99%

John Driscoll

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Montana 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Montana 2

Cook PVI

R+16.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Troy Downing

Cash on hand

$204,538

Raised

$1,266,846

Spent

$2,522,821

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Montana 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Montana House 02Vote %Total Votes

Matt Rosendale

56.56%

121,979

Gary Buchanan

21.88%

47,195

Penny Ronning

20.16%

43,480

Sam Rankin

1.40%

3,018

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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