| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Donald Norcross INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Theodore Liddell | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Jersey 1 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Jersey 1
Cook PVI
D+10.3
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Norcross | $1,873,669 | $1,011,910 | $778,759 | October 16, 2024 | |
Theodore Liddell | $1,715 | $8,810 | $18,852 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,873,669
Raised
$1,011,910
Spent
$778,759
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,715
Raised
$8,810
Spent
$18,852
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Jersey House 01 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Donald W. Norcross | 62.34% | 139,559 |
Claire Gustafson | 35.19% | 78,794 |
Patricia Jefferson Kline | 1.49% | 3,343 |
Isaiah Fletcher | 0.69% | 1,546 |
2022 New Jersey House 01
Donald W. Norcross
Vote %
62.34%
Total Votes
139,559
2022 New Jersey House 01
Claire Gustafson
Vote %
35.19%
Total Votes
78,794
2022 New Jersey House 01
Patricia Jefferson Kline
Vote %
1.49%
Total Votes
3,343
2022 New Jersey House 01
Isaiah Fletcher
Vote %
0.69%
Total Votes
1,546
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
