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New Jersey 12 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Bonnie Coleman has a >99% chance of winning New Jersey 12.

CandidatePartyWin %

Bonnie Coleman

INCUMBENT

>99%

Darius Mayfield

<1%

Chance of winning New Jersey 12 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 12

Cook PVI

D+12.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Bonnie Coleman

Cash on hand

$229,117

Raised

$276,555

Spent

$511,068

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Darius Mayfield

Cash on hand

$5,157

Raised

$30,155

Spent

$36,616

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 12. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 12Vote %Total Votes

Bonnie Watson Coleman

63.12%

125,127

Darius Mayfield

35.91%

71,175

C. Lynn Genrich

0.97%

1,925

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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