| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Jeff Van Drew INCUMBENT | 94% | |
Joe Salerno | 6% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Jersey 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Jersey 2
Cook PVI
R+4.8
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Van Drew | $1,051,848 | $2,552,987 | $2,486,436 | October 16, 2024 | |
Joe Salerno | $261,489 | $850,125 | $1,299,548 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,051,848
Raised
$2,552,987
Spent
$2,486,436
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$261,489
Raised
$850,125
Spent
$1,299,548
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Jersey House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Jeff Van Drew | 58.87% | 139,217 |
Tim Alexander | 39.97% | 94,522 |
Michael Gallo | 0.77% | 1,825 |
Anthony Parisi Sanchez | 0.39% | 920 |
2022 New Jersey House 02
Jeff Van Drew
Vote %
58.87%
Total Votes
139,217
2022 New Jersey House 02
Tim Alexander
Vote %
39.97%
Total Votes
94,522
2022 New Jersey House 02
Michael Gallo
Vote %
0.77%
Total Votes
1,825
2022 New Jersey House 02
Anthony Parisi Sanchez
Vote %
0.39%
Total Votes
920
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
