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New Jersey 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jeff Van Drew has a 95% chance of winning New Jersey 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jeff Van Drew

INCUMBENT

95%

Timothy Alexander

5%

Chance of winning New Jersey 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 2

Cook PVI

R+4.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jeff Van Drew

Cash on hand

$1,028,755

Raised

$1,971,641

Spent

$1,779,342

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Timothy Alexander

Cash on hand

$18,007

Raised

$161,319

Spent

$170,005

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 02Vote %Total Votes

Jeff Van Drew

58.87%

139,217

Tim Alexander

39.97%

94,522

Michael Gallo

0.77%

1,825

Anthony Parisi Sanchez

0.39%

920

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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