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New Jersey 3 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Herb Conaway Jr has a 92% chance of winning New Jersey 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Herb Conaway Jr

92%

Rajesh Mohan

8%

Chance of winning New Jersey 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 3

Cook PVI

D+4.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Herb Conaway Jr

Cash on hand

$130,478

Raised

$438,266

Spent

$374,031

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Rajesh Mohan

Cash on hand

$34,782

Raised

$63,961

Spent

$89,180

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 03Vote %Total Votes

Andy Kim

55.46%

150,498

Bob Healey

43.64%

118,415

Christopher Russomanno

0.50%

1,347

Gregory M. Sobocinski

0.41%

1,116

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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