| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Christopher Smith INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Matthew Jenkins | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Jersey 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Jersey 4
Cook PVI
R+14.1
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Smith | $426,497 | $431,297 | $521,878 | October 16, 2024 | |
Matthew Jenkins | $21,946 | $41,510 | $22,875 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$426,497
Raised
$431,297
Spent
$521,878
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$21,946
Raised
$41,510
Spent
$22,875
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Jersey House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Christopher H. Smith | 66.92% | 173,288 |
Matthew Jenkins | 31.37% | 81,233 |
Jason Cullen | 0.73% | 1,902 |
David R. Schmidt | 0.46% | 1,197 |
2022 New Jersey House 04
Christopher H. Smith
Vote %
66.92%
Total Votes
173,288
2022 New Jersey House 04
Matthew Jenkins
Vote %
31.37%
Total Votes
81,233
2022 New Jersey House 04
Jason Cullen
Vote %
0.73%
Total Votes
1,902
2022 New Jersey House 04
David R. Schmidt
Vote %
0.46%
Total Votes
1,197
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
