| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Josh Gottheimer INCUMBENT | 96% | |
Mary Jo guinchard | 4% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Jersey 5 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Jersey 5
Cook PVI
D+3.7
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Gottheimer | $20,463,349 | $6,404,711 | $2,430,235 | October 16, 2024 | |
Mary Jo guinchard | $12,581 | $5,445 | $289,595 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$20,463,349
Raised
$6,404,711
Spent
$2,430,235
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$12,581
Raised
$5,445
Spent
$289,595
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Jersey House 05 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Josh Gottheimer | 54.73% | 145,559 |
Frank T. Pallotta | 44.32% | 117,873 |
Jeremy Marcus | 0.45% | 1,193 |
Trevor James Ferrigno | 0.26% | 700 |
2022 New Jersey House 05
Josh Gottheimer
Vote %
54.73%
Total Votes
145,559
2022 New Jersey House 05
Frank T. Pallotta
Vote %
44.32%
Total Votes
117,873
2022 New Jersey House 05
Jeremy Marcus
Vote %
0.45%
Total Votes
1,193
2022 New Jersey House 05
Trevor James Ferrigno
Vote %
0.26%
Total Votes
700
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
