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New Jersey 6 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Frank Pallone has a 97% chance of winning New Jersey 6.

CandidatePartyWin %

Frank Pallone

INCUMBENT

97%

Scott Fegler

3%

Chance of winning New Jersey 6 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 6

Cook PVI

D+8.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Frank Pallone

Cash on hand

$3,265,245

Raised

$848,475

Spent

$1,518,555

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Scott Fegler

Cash on hand

$5,241

Raised

$29,678

Spent

$28,692

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 6. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 06Vote %Total Votes

Frank Pallone Jr.

57.45%

106,238

Susan M. Kiley

41.01%

75,839

Tara Fisher

0.74%

1,361

Inder Jit Soni

0.51%

947

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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