Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

New Jersey 8 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Robert Menendez has a >99% chance of winning New Jersey 8.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Robert Menendez INCUMBENT		>99%
Anthony Valdes		<1%

Chance of winning New Jersey 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 8

Cook PVI

D+21.9

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Robert Menendez	$696,354	$1,070,695	$1,301,668	APRIL QUARTERLY	May 15, 2024

Candidate

Robert Menendez

Cash on hand

$696,354

Raised

$1,070,695

Spent

$1,301,668

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.