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New Jersey 9 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Bill Pascrell has a 97% chance of winning New Jersey 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Bill Pascrell

INCUMBENT

97%

Billy Prempeh

3%

Chance of winning New Jersey 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 9

Cook PVI

D+8.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Bill Pascrell

Cash on hand

$1,422,816

Raised

$485,302

Spent

$971,579

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Billy Prempeh

Cash on hand

$4,034

Raised

$14,324

Spent

$9,530

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 09Vote %Total Votes

Bill Pascrell Jr.

54.93%

82,115

Billy Prempeh

43.63%

65,214

Lea Sherman

0.74%

1,103

Sean Armstrong

0.70%

1,050

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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