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New York 15 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Ritchie Torres has a >99% chance of winning New York 15.

CandidatePartyWin %

Ritchie Torres

INCUMBENT

>99%

Gonzalo Duran

<1%

Chance of winning New York 15 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 15

Cook PVI

D+34.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Ritchie Torres

Cash on hand

$9,448,565

Raised

$5,249,387

Spent

$1,312,420

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 15. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 15Vote %Total Votes

Ritchie J. Torres

82.79%

76,406

Stylo A. Sapaskis

17.21%

15,882

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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