| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Elise Stefanik INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Paula Collins | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New York 21 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New York 21
Cook PVI
R+10.2
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elise Stefanik | $8,186,913 | $5,177,671 | $6,812,611 | October 16, 2024 | |
Paula Collins | $85,355 | $123,310 | $50,393 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$8,186,913
Raised
$5,177,671
Spent
$6,812,611
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$85,355
Raised
$123,310
Spent
$50,393
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 21. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New York House 21 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Elise M. Stefanik | 59.15% | 168,579 |
Matt Castelli | 40.85% | 116,421 |
2022 New York House 21
Elise M. Stefanik
Vote %
59.15%
Total Votes
168,579
2022 New York House 21
Matt Castelli
Vote %
40.85%
Total Votes
116,421
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
