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New York 25 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Joseph Morelle has a 98% chance of winning New York 25.

CandidatePartyWin %

Joseph Morelle

INCUMBENT

98%

Gregg Sadwick

2%

Chance of winning New York 25 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 25

Cook PVI

D+7.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Joseph Morelle

Cash on hand

$460,920

Raised

$272,690

Spent

$911,519

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Gregg Sadwick

Cash on hand

$80,540

Raised

$5,570

Spent

$25,030

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 25. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 25Vote %Total Votes

Joseph D. Morelle

53.87%

152,022

La'Ron D. Singletary

46.13%

130,190

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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