| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Tom Suozzi INCUMBENT | 86% | |
Mike Lepetri | 14% |
Chance of winning New York 3 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New York 3
Cook PVI
D+3.3
Last Winner
Republican
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11 – 13 | 500 LV | J.L. Partners | 46.0%Suozzi 45.0%Pilip | +1 Suozzi |
| Feb 5 – 6 | 742 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 52.0%Suozzi 48.0%Pilip | +4 Suozzi |
| Jan 14 – 16 | 975 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 45.0%Suozzi 42.0%Pilip | +3 Suozzi |
| Dec 1 | 900 LV | Opinion Research/Fri... | 43.3%Suozzi 39.9%Pilip | +3 Suozzi |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tom Suozzi | $1,296,740 | $5,746,083 | $6,098,473 | June 5, 2024 | |
Mike Lepetri | $134,836 | $184,132 | $79,657 | June 5, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,296,740
Raised
$5,746,083
Spent
$6,098,473
Report
Date
June 5, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$134,836
Raised
$184,132
Spent
$79,657
Report
Date
June 5, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New York House 03 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
George A.D. Santos | 53.76% | 145,824 |
Robert P. Zimmerman | 46.24% | 125,404 |
2022 New York House 03
George A.D. Santos
Vote %
53.76%
Total Votes
145,824
2022 New York House 03
Robert P. Zimmerman
Vote %
46.24%
Total Votes
125,404
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
