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New York 8 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Hakeem Jeffries has a >99% chance of winning New York 8.

CandidatePartyWin %

Hakeem Jeffries

INCUMBENT

>99%

Darrion Stewart

<1%

Chance of winning New York 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 8

Cook PVI

D+26.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Hakeem Jeffries

Cash on hand

$8,077,663

Raised

$11,285,978

Spent

$10,580,304

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 08Vote %Total Votes

Hakeem S. Jeffries

71.72%

99,079

Yuri Dashevsky

28.28%

39,060

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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