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New York 9 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Yvette Clarke has a >99% chance of winning New York 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Yvette Clarke

INCUMBENT

>99%

Menachem Raitport

<1%

Chance of winning New York 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 9

Cook PVI

D+25.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Yvette Clarke

Cash on hand

$63,049

Raised

$179,887

Spent

$597,554

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 09Vote %Total Votes

Yvette Clarke

81.52%

116,970

Menachem M. Raitport

18.48%

26,521

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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