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North Carolina 10 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Pat Harrigan has a 98% chance of winning North Carolina 10.

CandidatePartyWin %

Pat Harrigan

98%

Ralph Scott

2%

Chance of winning North Carolina 10 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 10

Cook PVI

R+10.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Pat Harrigan

Cash on hand

$231,553

Raised

$513,689

Spent

$947,901

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 10. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Carolina House 10Vote %Total Votes

Patrick McHenry

72.65%

194,681

Pam Genant

27.31%

73,174

Diana R. Jimison

0.04%

110

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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