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North Carolina 11 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Chuck Edwards has a 97% chance of winning North Carolina 11.

CandidatePartyWin %

Chuck Edwards

INCUMBENT

97%

Caleb Rudow

3%

Chance of winning North Carolina 11 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 11

Cook PVI

R+8.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Chuck Edwards

Cash on hand

$248,781

Raised

$357,275

Spent

$888,251

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Caleb Rudow

Cash on hand

$107,644

Raised

$187,059

Spent

$79,515

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Carolina House 11Vote %Total Votes

Chuck Edwards

53.79%

174,232

Jasmine Beach-Ferrara

44.51%

144,165

David Adam Coatney

1.70%

5,515

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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