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North Carolina 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Virginia Foxx has a 98% chance of winning North Carolina 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Virginia Foxx

INCUMBENT

98%

Chuck Hubbard

2%

Chance of winning North Carolina 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 5

Cook PVI

R+9.5

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Virginia Foxx

Cash on hand

$2,842,866

Raised

$958,001

Spent

$1,209,912

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Chuck Hubbard

Cash on hand

$46,501

Raised

$163,000

Spent

$144,263

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Carolina House 05Vote %Total Votes

Virginia Foxx

63.15%

175,279

Kyle Parrish

36.85%

102,269

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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